Population and household projections
Project the growth of a region in Brazil
How many additional households would form if recent demographic trends continue? What will be the population size in the near future?
Population and household projections are essential for planning in several areas, such as municipal management and municipal master plans. It helps us to know the future demand in a region for inputs such as water, electricity, garbage, urban transport, and even for housing and the real estate market. In addition, it provides fundamental information to strategize and map future target populations of companies.
Ex. gráfico de projeção populacional
Main applications
Urban planning
Government plans and municipal master plans.
Public work and government concessions
Population and household projections to aid in project sizing.
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Basic sanitation, public transport, roads and highways, electricity and more.
Real estate developments
Decrease the risk of failure of your venture, validate the future potential of your business
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Discover how the population growth will be in the region where your property is located.
Entrepreneurship
Map out where your company's target population will be and who they will be in the future. Outline the best strategy for your business!
Create your own scenario
How will pandemics, crises and demographic changes affect your target population?
Methodology
We use the Cohort-Component methodology required by the main government concession notices. Learn about our robust and most modern methods for projecting mortality, fertility and migration.
No matter how much accurate data is sought for the future of a project or business, Brazil has few sources of data on populations. Official institutes such as IBGE and Fundação SEADE occasionally offer population projections, but these sources are quickly outdated or do not have the detail desired by the client (disaggregation by sex, age, race/color, rural/urban, region, etc.). With Noonly, the delivery of results is personalized!
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Beyond that, in Brazil, there isn’t an official practice of household projections on a national level, and the few previous experiences are restricted by the numbers of households, not taking into account the distribution by age and sex, nor the size and composition of these future households.
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For that, we developed a unique methodology according to the best international practices of household projections. Knowing how to research and interpret this information is crucial and to help you in this process, Noonly brings the service of measurement and analysis of population projections data, which provides a complete and reliable view of consumers and markets.
Personalized projections
Information by municipality, weighting areas or census sectors.
Household projections by type, size and composition of households.
Analysis of spatial and temporal dynamics.
For any year and age desired.
Urban, rural and floating population projections.
Other methodologies available, such as exponential and geometric model projection.
Team
Comprised of demographers, statisticians, data scientists and geographers, we unite experts in the field of projection with powerful algorithms for assertive, personalized and fast delivery.
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Gustavo Brusse
Population and household projections team leader
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Graduated in Statistics from the State University of Campinas (2014), Master's (2017) and Doctorate (2021) from the Postgraduate Program in Demography at the State University of Campinas. Graduated in the 2018/2019 class of the European Doctoral School of Demography (EDSD) course at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPDIR) and University of Southern Denmark (SDU) universities.